GREAT FALLS BPA FEATURED ARTICLE:

Sponsored by Terry Graves from Capital Realty Services, Inc.

www.CapitalRealtyServices.net

 

The Subprime Lending Mess by Terry Graves.

Over the past 6 months, I have been asked a number of times what affect the “subprime” lending problem will have on our business and for most of that time I was not convinced that it would have a significant impact on the commercial real estate lending business.  It appears now that I was mistaken……………..

 From what I can see, the “subprime” lending business was created through the outright greed of Wall Street firms who created and then aggressively marketed residential mortgage products specifically tailored to borrowers whose credit was “impaired” or for investors (speculators) who were simply trying to ride the wave of rapidly rising home values.   Many of these products allowed for lax underwriting standards, excessively high loan to value ratios and adjustable rates or other provisions that made them ticking time bombs……especially if interest rates climbed or if home values fell in the future….  Both of these events have happened and they have happened together making for the  “perfect storm”.  The subprime mortgage products were marketed by residential mortgage banking companies with the full encouragement of Wall Street and indirectly by the Mortgage Bankers Association of America.  These mortgage lenders and Wall Street firms made huge amounts of money when they pooled the mortgages and sold them off to investors such as hedge funds, life companies, banks, and pension funds.  When the housing market started to cool, as it normally would, some people and investors found themselves overleveraged and, at the same time, unable to sell their homes.  The result was that mortgage default rates began to climb.  As lenders experienced rising default rates, they reacted by raising interest rates and tightening  credit standards all which reduced liquidity in the marketplace.  Reduced credit availability caused a further slowdown in housing demand, an increase in unsold homes and then additional reductions in home values.   The downward spiral had begun and it hasn’t yet abated.

 Unfortunately, when the residential housing “bubble” burst, massive numbers of borrowers defaulted on their home loans.  Unexpectedly high default rates have caused the rating agencies like Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s to lower credit ratings on the various debt instruments (“mortgage pools”) which in turn has forced many financial institutions like Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, and Countrywide into writing down their assets and tightening their underwriting standards for new business.  In some extreme situations, entire financial institutions here and abroad have failed.   National banking regulations frequently require banks to liquidate foreclosed properties rather than retaining them as “REO’s” (Real Estate Owned) and “working them out”.  The end result is that entire neighborhoods in some cities have been foreclosed and put on the auction block further aggravating an already very serious national problem.  I simply don’t understand why our national leaders appear to be standing on the sidelines while huge numbers of families are being thrown out of their homes.  In my opinion, it doesn’t make any sense to allow all of these foreclosures to continue unabated when lenders should instead be proactive in “working out” these loans thereby leaving tens of thousands of families in their own homes until we return to better times and a more stable lending market.  To me, everyone looses in a foreclosure and forced sale at the auction block.  Where are our national leaders in all of this?  Why haven’t they stood up and called for national relief instead of doing nothing.  When will this spiral end and what does it have to do with our business?

 Like most industries, the commercial real estate finance business is dependent upon the availability and flow of reasonably priced capital.  Our two main sources of capital are CMBS (Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities) conduit lenders and the traditional life insurance companies who have been in the market for most of the past 100 years.  Our CMBS conduit lenders, who are frequently Wall Street based firms, have been hard hit by the residential lending crisis and they have been forced into raising their lending rates and curtailing their loan production.  Their problems will continue until they write off all of their bad paper which may take many more months.  We are, however, beginning to see a number of our conduit friends return to the market which is a good sign. Fortunately, our life company friends have remained in the market with competitive rates and terms and they show no signs of slowing their activities.  By their nature, life companies are traditionally “portfolio” lenders meaning that they don’t sell their mortgages but retain them as long term assets.  When they occasionally acquire properties through foreclosure, they typically keep them as REO and rework them back into performing assets.  Their long term view of investing has served them well through alternating periods of national prosperity, recession, war, and even a worldwide depression.  We don’t expect their appetite for new business to decline next year and we are therefore quite able to process new loan applications at historically low rates.

 For more information on our loan programs, please call us at 703-759-4900 or visit our website at CapitalRealtyServices.net.  We welcome your calls and we pledge to provide you with the highest personal and professional service in the placement of your real estate capital needs.           

  Terry Graves

 Capital Realty Services, Inc.

772 Walker Road

Suite C

Great Falls, Virginia  22066

 

703-759-4900

703-759-4256 fax

 www.CapitalRealtyServices.net